THE NO B.S. UNEMPLOYMENT NUMBERS
Click to view the BLS numbers this data is based on
Question: IF it has taken 16 months to put between 1.8 and 2.3 million folks back to work THEN how long will it take
to put enough folks back to work in order to get unemployment back down to the March 2007 level of 4.40%?
Answer 1: At least 60 more months (5 yrs) best case and as much as 100 more months (8 yrs) worst case (see numbers below).
Answer 2: PBS NEWSHOUR, March 4, 2011; Lisa Lynch (Heller School for Social Policy and Management at Brandies University),
"So, 200,000 jobs a month, if we continue to keep that pace of job creation, to get back down to, say, the 5 percent unemployment
rate we were at before this recession started, that pace of job growth would mean it would take until 2019 before we got back down
to 5 percent."... In other words 8 years.  Here is why...
	(Oct 2009 Baseline)
Real (U6) Unemployed	BLS Employable *	Real Unemployed Percentage
30,960,000	154,800,000	20.00%+	REAL U6 PEAK (per many serious estimates)
29,109,200	154,800,000	18.80%	CURRENT (if 8.90% U3 vs. 10.10% peek U3)
Fake (U6) Unemployed	BLS Employable *	Fake Unemployed Percentage
26,940,000	154,800,000	17.40%	U6 REPORTED PEEK (via BLS Oct 2009)
25,089,200	154,800,000	16.21%	U6 assuming ADJUSTED U3 (Feb 2011)
24,620,000	154,800,000	15.90%	U6 current claimed (via BLS Feb 2011)
12,380,000	154,800,000	8.00%	U6 claimed (via BLS Mar 2007)
1,850,800	Found jobs in past 16 months (Oct 2009 to Feb 2011)
2,320,000	Supposedly found jobs per BLS in past 16 months (Oct 2009 to Feb 2011)
14,560,000	Need to find jobs to match BLS numbers (Mar 2007 )
Fake (U3) Unemployed	BLS Employable *	Fake Unemployed Percentage
15,628,000	154,800,000 *	10.10%	U3 REPORTED PEEK (per BLS Oct 2009) *
15,480,000	154,800,000	10.00%
15,325,200	154,800,000	9.90%
15,170,400	154,800,000	9.80%
15,015,600	154,800,000	9.70%
14,860,800	154,800,000	9.60%
14,706,000	154,800,000	9.50%
14,551,200	154,800,000	9.40%
14,396,400	154,800,000	9.30%
14,241,600	154,800,000	9.20%
14,086,800	154,800,000	9.10%
13,932,000	154,800,000	9.00%
13,777,200	154,800,000	8.90%	U3 CURRENT ADJUSTED (via BLS % Feb 2011)
13,673,000	153,600,000	8.90%	U3 Current claimed (via BLS % Feb 2011)
13,622,400	154,800,000	8.80%	Required numbers to draw down real UE
13,467,600	154,800,000	8.70%	Required numbers to draw down real UE
6,811,200	154,800,000	4.40%	U3 Required numbers to draw down UE to 4.4% again
1,850,800	Found jobs in past 16 months (Oct 2009 to Feb 2011)
1,955,000	Supposedly found jobs per BLS in past 16 months (Oct 2009 to Feb 2011)
8,668,800	Need to find jobs to match BLS numbers (Mar 2007 )
* The BLS Employable number is taken from the BLS data base as they reported for Oct 2009 and
is used as a base line assuming only those folks continued to keep looking for work going forward;
not adjusted for population growth due to immagration, etc.